In Istanbul earthquake warning

US scientist Rundle, an earthquake of the magnitude projected over 5 km in the next 10 years is close to 30-40 in Istanbul.

US University of California Professor Dr. John Rundle, Istanbul 30-40 km near future said they predict an earthquake over magnitude 5 in 10 years.

Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan, the information within the Anatolian Bank, the contribution of Bogazici University (BU) in the Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute, "the monitoring of earthquakes using space and satellite technologies, early warning systems", was held workshop.

The two-day who made a presentation about their work in the workshop of John Rundle, will the earthquake in hand made according to various measurements stated that no data of 10 years, said it was risky second region to the earthquake near Istanbul in 10 years.

Rundle, '2 hot fault line near Yalova and Istanbul Kumburgaz. Here it could be an earthquake of magnitude 5 in the next 10 years. Need to pay attention to Istanbul, '' he said.

BU Kandilli Observatory Earthquake Engineering Department Chairman Prof. Dr. Mustafa were in Istanbul on 30 years of data in the form to be around 50-60 per cent chance of being earthquake, echoed that cause public misunderstanding, the future of the people that look certain to be an earthquake in 25 years, but he did not reflect the reality of it.

We are, this may be an interest for drawing attention to, '' likely to have a major earthquake in Istanbul in the next one year 1/50 it is. But the risk of earthquake in 50 years and then again one year 1/50 is. Around 60 per cent chance that an earthquake in Istanbul in the next 100 years. But 200 years, 500 years later, the figure is still the same. These possibilities are not changing over time is likely, '' he said.

EARTHQUAKE WITH RUSSIAN SATELLITE NOTICE MAKING PROJECT

Satellite through earthquake improve the notice to get the project Russia Avia Export Consortium working in the Russian Academy of Sciences Lecturer Sergey Pulinets the earthquake with information obtained from satellites to predict He said they have developed a system.

The system, installed on some satellite systems, Pulinets explained that based on the desired space 365 days 24 hours scan principle 'earthquake with satellite system project that we have developed can be estimated in advance for 1-5 days,' 'he said.

Pulinets, the system is ready to use now one country is Taiwan, he stated that Taiwan in this area very serious strides, '' Taiwan, established ground stations, and just throwing custom-made satellites for this work, together with the United States launched the system using our information. Currently we can not disclose any information they obtain because it is in the testing phase, '' he said.

The project Marketing Director Valery Belyak also said that there is a paragraph with Turkey about this project was signed on mixed economic council protocol between Russia, he said they came to Turkey to take broader steps about it.

Belyak, journalists, project cost about 150 million dollars in the form of whether the questions on '' What, yeah, how could I say no, '' he said. The workshop was attended by Turkey as well as scientists from different countries. The workshop will continue tomorrow. (Reuters)

Source: İstanbul'da deprem uyarısı (Sabah, 2005.2.1)

'Marmara in 30 years earthquake probability 50 percent'

Monitoring early warning systems for earthquakes was discussed at the meeting held in Istanbul. Prof. Haluk Eyidoğan that "in 30 years from a high of 7 earthquake probability of over 50 percent," he said.


National Earthquake Council Chairman Prof. Haluk eyidoğan, the size of over 30 years in the Marmara region 7 has reported that over 50 per cent probability of an earthquake. Earthquake early warning systems, discussed "the monitoring of earthquakes using space and satellite technologies, early warning systems on '' meeting was held in Istanbul. He said Public Works and Housing Ministry Undersecretary Sabri Erbakan of the earthquake known in advance is not possible at this stage.

RISK OF TWO REGIONS
Lecturer from the University of California Professor Dr. John Rundle is 30-40 kilometers near Istanbul in his speech, he said that they foresee a future earthquake above 5 in 10 years. Rundle future in the hands of the earthquake, according to various measurements made by that expression data of 10 years, said that the risk of earthquakes 2 near Istanbul in 10 years. Rundle, "Yalova and kumburgaz'daulusal Earthquake Council Chairman near Istanbul Professor Haluk Eyidoğan.2 warm fault line. Around here might be an earthquake above 5 over the next 10 years. You need to pay attention to Istanbul, '' he said.

Russia He said the Academy of Sciences Lecturer Sergey Pulinets also have developed a system to predict earthquakes with information obtained from satellites. installed, a number of satellite system, Pulinets explained that based on the desired space 365 days a screening policy, '' earthquake with satellite system project we develop 1-5 days can be estimated before the said. National Earthquake Council Chairman Haluk Eyidoğan Professor at the meeting "the possibility of a major earthquake in Istanbul in 30 years is estimated at around 7pm on 50 per cent," he said.

Not REFLECT THE TRUTH
IT. Kandilli Observatory Earthquake Engineering Department Chairman Prof. Dr. We are Mustafa, do not be an earthquake in 30 years in Istanbul University faculty member Professor ihtimalinincaliforni Dr. John Rundleyüz that the data in the form of 50-60, said that the cause of the people's misunderstanding. We are indicating that the people will look almost certain to be an earthquake in 25 years, but says it does not reflect reality.

63 PERCENT EVERY 5 YEARS
We, that chances of long noting that there is an interest, said: "In the next one year in the possibility of a major earthquake in Istanbul 1/50 is. But the risk of earthquake in 50 years, 1 year later again 1/50 is . The next 100 years of about 60 percent possibility that the earthquake in Istanbul. But 200 years, 500 years later, this figure is still the same. These possibilities are not changing over time is likely. " At the meeting it was announced that 63 per cent probability of a major earthquake every 5 years in Turkey.

Source: 'Marmara'da 30 yıl içinde deprem ihtimali yüzde 50' (Sabah, 2005.2.2)

'It becomes the Marmara earthquake in 10 years'

University of California Professor Dr. John Rundle, "Yalova and 2 hot fault line in Kumburgaz. Could be an earthquake of magnitude 5.0 on over 10 years in Istanbul," he said

Preset Yilmaz


Japanese scientists at Tokai University professor Seiya Uyeda, "in practice between 2020 and 2010 will make it possible to predict earthquakes. Until 2010, it will be solved in theory," he said.
At Bogazici University Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute "Space and Satellite Technology Using Monitoring Purposes of the Earthquake Early Warning System Workshop" he began.

'Discovery is not over'
Public Works and Housing Ministry Undersecretary Sabri Erbakan century until the middle of earthquake prediction about the results can not be taken, but they told us they would still support their work. The foreign scholars presented papers hardly participate in this view. The members, "Some people said in the past can not be the end of mankind. And another one that bit of scientific progress and discovery ... But this is not the pessimists, optimists are justified," he said. Stating that members could be predicted in advance between 2020 and 2010 earthquakes, Turkish scientists, stressed the need to cooperate with Greek scientists.

'Science knows no boundaries'
Members stating that the science knows no bounds, said the earthquake had been predicted in advance in many regions in Greece. The members, "Some scientists do not accept this work. Before the earthquake happening something in the air atmosphere., By combining measurements in the atmosphere by measuring the floor provided the prediction of earthquakes. The French also conducting successful studies. Japan as we're back to this issue, I'm a little embarrassed," he said.
USA University of California Professor Dr. John Rundle, the Istanbul 30-40 kilometers near future, said they anticipate an earthquake over 5.0 magnitude in 10 years. Rundle, "near Istanbul, Yalova and 2 hot fault line in Kumburgaz. Around here might be an earthquake of magnitude 5.0 on the next 10 years. Need to pay attention to Istanbul," he said. The earthquake via satellite to receive notice that improve the project work in Russia Avia Export Consortium of Russian Academy of Sciences Sergei Pulinets lecturer also said that they have developed systems to predict with information obtained from satellites.

'Fortunate Taiwan'
The number of installed satellite system, explaining that the desired area is scanned Pulinets 365 days 24 hours "Earthquakes 1 - 5 days can be estimated in advance," he said. Pulinets, ready-to-use system that Taiwan recorded a single country. Marketing Director Valery Belyak the project, noted that there is a paragraph on this issue with Turkey protocols signed between Russia Joint Economic Council.


Uluğ: Small earthquakes are precursors ...


UTKU BOLULU Izmir DHA
Dokuz Eylul University Faculty of Marine Sciences and Technology, earthquake expert Prof. Dr. Atilla Ulug, Kas, Gokova, Hakkari and recent tremors in Seferihisar, attached great earthquake in South Asia. "Junior is a great earthquakes stimulus. This movement, fault may bring forward the earthquake will have their go 10 years later," said Uluğ, the South Asia earthquake, the Indian - he plays the Australian plate, it is claimed that affects other plates and "systematic earthquake is very important," he said.

Source: 'Marmara'da 10 yıl içinde deprem olur' (Milliyet, 2005.2.2)

Earthquakes will be determined by space technology ...

The earthquake via satellite operating in Russia Avia Export Consortium developed the project to take notice of the Russian Academy of Sciences Sergei Pulinets Lecturer, 'Our advice to those who want to use 8 satellite receiving system. 4 sub 4 of the top level must be different orbits, '' he said.

Bogazici University (BU) Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute 'Space and satellite technology using monitoring for early warning systems for earthquakes' on the two-day workshop Pulinets presenter on the last day, choosing the right of first precursors to the formation of this system and noted the need to collect information depending on the specific characteristics of earthquake preparation area.

The desired area with the establishment of a satellite system for 365 days describing 24 hours to scan Pulinets, an earthquake with a satellite system project for a few days can be predicted reported.

can be estimated in 100-200 mile radius of the location of the earthquake, the system is not a single point, voicing active tectonic faults Show Pulinets, also on the severity of the earthquake through the system recorded could be an idea.

Pulinets, can not be effective alone a satellite system, a ground-based Stressing that should be supported by measurement, '' Our advice to those who want to use 8 satellite receiving system. 4 sub 4 of the top level must be different orbits, '' he said.

"SYSTEM IN TURKEY USED"
Pulinets voicing could be used in Turkey this system, these satellites that small satellites, and therefore very expensive He argued that it would be. Pulinets, the system noted that currently only in Taiwan.

TÜBITAK seismologist Sadat believe in Izmit in 2001 after the earthquake in Istanbul Metropolitan reported that they initiated a study of water resources and gas with the Municipality of support. checked daily samples taken from water sources Believe telling is that and do the analysis, they began the radon gas monitoring study noted.

Believe me, the radon gas measurements they have done so far, in the immediate period before the earthquake after the earthquake and reached a maximum of radon gas was reported that determine normal.

Source: Depremler uzay teknolojisiyle belirlenecek... (Milliyet, 2005.2.2)


'We say Marmara earthquake five days before'

Russian scientists, "earthquake in Turkey may notify 1-5 ​​days in advance," he says

ÖNAY Yilmaz Istanbul


The Russian Academy of Sciences, Prof. Sergey Pulinets, the cost of the satellite system is $ 150 million, earthquakes 1 - 5 days said they predicted, "If desired, the system can be set up in Turkey," he said. "Space and Satellite Technology Using Monitoring Purposes of the Earthquake Early Warning System Workshop" in participating Russian scientists, earthquake location, time, claimed they knew greatness. Pulinets system is explained:

'Erdogan will transmit'
"We are planning to send into space eight satellites. Will be small satellites and will be supported by the station. We are on the ground as well, and we conclude by evaluating the data in space and atmosphere. So we plan to take advantage of all the parameters."
Bogazici University Kandilli Observatory Director Professor Gulay Barbarosoğlu, papers presented at the meeting of Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan said they would forward a report. Barbarosoğlu, "you will support the project by Russian scientists?" He replied: "We will assess" he replied.

Source: 'Marmara depremini 5 gün önce söyleriz' (Milliyet, 2005.2.3)