Ananyin Igor Vladimirovich

Ananyin Igor Vladimirovich Chief Researcher, Laboratory of Seismology Institute of Seismology of the continental United Institute of Physics of the Earth RAS; born August 28, 1928 r .; Doctor of physical and mathematical sciences; Corresponding Member of the Academy of Natural Sciences (1993); associate editor of the Russian-Chinese magazine "Studies on earthquake prediction"; member of the Scientific and Technical Council of Engineering and Scientific Coordination Seismological Center RAS.

The method for determining the probability of an earthquake

Davydov Vyacheslav Fedorovich (RU)
Nikitin Albert Nikolaevich (RU)
Emelianov Konstantin (RU)
Ananyin Igor (RU)
Gass Leonardovich Alexander (RU)

The invention relates to geophysics, and can be used for remote sensing of the Earth. According to the inventive method is carried out probing of the cloud cover of the Earth and get synoptic maps in the form of vortices of cyclones and anticyclones contours. Calculate the local minima (maxima) of the function of the signal from the cloud formations, take them for centers of cyclones and anticyclones, track track their movements on a series of consecutive shots. Find the point of intersection of routes conditional-phase cyclones and anticyclones, repeated convergence runs over the same region of the intersection of the routes identified with coordinates of the focus of the forthcoming earthquake. Predict the probability of an earthquake in the region of the static distribution function of the time interval between two successive earthquakes.

How not to fall in the fifth ocean

October 2nd, 2001 at 00:00

We have entered the era of catastrophes. To deny this truth will undertake a clinical optimist. Although change the sign of the time people obviously can not afford, so the person is arranged, sit back without straining your intelligence, it can not. The general instability and insecurity of the inhabited world is particularly acute when we are off the ground, and trust yourself the elements of the fifth ocean . That's why the increased concern about the frequent accidents and disasters has shown the Interstate Aviation Committee - an organization that has existed for ten years and brings together all the countries of the CIS.

At the seminar "New scientific approaches to predict and prevent accidents in the aerospace and missile systems", held recently invited researchers of various profiles. Experts in the field of aerospace engineering, meteorology, geology, seismology, information technology, psychology and energy information exchange conducted a difficult dialogue. The meaning is clear: together to consider whether it is possible to increase the safety of the flying man. Between us, pseudo-scientists suddenly began to discuss the oldest participant of the seminar - the vice-president of the Russian Academy of Cosmonautics. Tsiolkovsky Doctor of Technical Sciences, Lieutenant General Ivan Meshcheryakov. He singled out two aspects of threats to the existence of civilization: the irrational human activities and the cycles of life, is largely unexplored, the solar system and the galaxy. Old methods based on conservative views, do not take these threats. A new science of penetrating into the key mysteries of the universe, hangs an old threat - from the Russian Academy of Sciences, organized by the Commission to Combat Pseudoscience and Falsification of Scientific Research. Bow to complex puzzles that sets us nature, Russian Academy of Sciences in a hurry to call pseudo-scientists researchers who run the risk of working at the forefront of knowledge. That's why experienced scientists urged his colleagues to bring their hypotheses to the test experiments, seek the legally impeccable protocols to achieve documented responses from those who warned of the dangers forecast.

- When I was a member of the expert council of VAK of special equipment - revealed a long-standing "sovsekretnuyu" mystery Ivan - we received an oral instruction not to take to the defense of a thesis, which violated the laws of physics. Who established these laws? Who are the judges? No wonder Albert Einstein showed them all languages. Thanks to him, we understand the relativity appeared yesterday immutable truths. With irrefutable documents, we will be able to resist a campaign that seeks to close the new search direction in science. Killer-boil even hiding - indigenous belief Vernadsky, has become his will: study of helium and the breath of the earth - with these words began the story of his studies Igor Janicki , candidate of geological-mineralogical sciences, head of the Center of instrumental environmental observations and geophysical forecasts.

Over the years, research has proven Janicki: namely helium reveals faults of the crust is much clearer than any geophysical methods. A structure of the field distribution of helium similar structure of the active regions of the sun. It turns out that the Earth is tougher than first believed, is related to the luminary. But atmospheric processes are determined by the dynamics of the crust. That is why the atmosphere was volumetric measure of how figuratively Igor, chirya energy in the Earth, ready to break through the earthquake, typhoon, explosion of methane in the mine or other cataclysm. Where exactly - it indicates helium.

As luck would have it, a civilization always attract these potentially hazardous energy boils Earth. They lined up almost all nuclear power plants. Understand when and where once again sharahnet, is possible only through the study of the atmosphere.

One such ominous fault runs near Irkutsk, just crossing the runway of the airfield. Three loud, had a great public outcry the crash near Irkutsk, one occurred in the 70s, "Ruslan" crashed in December 1997, the Tu-154 - in July this - thoroughly investigated, but somehow nobody realized link them a. Although even a child could see the pattern that three planes killed in the same place. And in each case we found the perpetrators. But not the pilots, communications, equipment or air traffic controllers to blame for the fact that in the area of ​​geological fault occur gravitational pit. It hits her plane - disaster almost inevitable. And how it is implemented - will ship you into a tailspin, electric lights, or whether the behavior of the crew will be inadequate - does not matter. Anyway, the killer would break. If this is to recognize and punish the innocent do not have and, more importantly, be able to prevent new tragedies.

Of course, to endure the Irkutsk airport of "Twisted" to another, safer place - the idea is unthinkable expensive. But to equip it and flew to Irkutsk aircraft instrumentation, warning of the possibility of activation of the underlying processes in the geological fault, the problem is solved. Do not scold cosmonaut The fact that the earth is variable and mobile, said engineer cosmonaut, Hero of Russia Pavel Vinogradov. It turns out that astronauts fix failures spacecraft in Earth orbit for hundreds of meters, flying over areas such strong anomalies as Kursk, Argentina or Greenland. The mass of the oceans is comparable to the mass of the Earth's crust, but it is not stationary. And rolling it significantly affects the well-being of astronauts.

Put to sleep eight hours a day - only rested body is able to cope with the physical and mental strain in orbit. Even if these are provided eight o'clock, a man can not rest - disturbing to think about his problems or failing to use the rest seem to be gratuitously: is not a dream, that's all. And the next day he makes a stupid mistake, which is life-threatening. And no one can do nothing - it is believed once was given eight hours of sleep, all right. Ties same rhythms and the rhythms of the planet remain poorly understood.

Pavel frankly gave the example of his own inexplicable error associated with forgetfulness: forgot to unscrew the cover cutter - then barely managed to undock the ship from the space station. Well, wrong - I got his. Fortunately the ship is still separated from the station, and nothing happened. But the reason for the strange forgetfulness? Before that, nobody dig. Because it has not yet been rooted in our belief: people - part of the biosphere and behaves according to its rhythms. Given that we often neglect. Do not fly over the epicenter Paving the track of flights, of course, try to avoid high-risk places - the cluster of storm clouds, the centers of origin of the air vortices. It turns out to areas of increased hazard of air should also include areas of earthquakes. The risk of falling into their particularly high also because the danger is growing before the earthquake, which sometimes one does not know.

This was told by Igor Ananyin, member of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences and Cosmonautics. Tsiolkovsky, the doctor of physical and mathematical sciences, professor, chief researcher of the Joint Institute of Physics of the Earth.

The number of recorded accidents increases as approaching earthquake. One day prior to the disaster, it becomes more than 100 times higher than in ordinary days.

What is the reason? Mechanical stress generated in the earth's crust before an earthquake, accompanied by the growth of the electrostatic field. And the closer to the epicenter of the future, the more. If the average voltage of 120-140 volts per meter, the day before the disaster - a few hundred thousand volts per meter. It is not even visible to the naked eye: light up the mountains, land, electric wires, sparks showered in a radius of up to two hundred kilometers. At the moment we are touching on the epicenter for a few seconds there is the brightest flash.

Flying at such a highly charged atmosphere is extremely dangerous: after a strong electrostatic field is cut down all electrical systems, including onboard computers and communications. In 1977, the day before the earthquake in Bucharest went down all computers.

How is the electric potential height, is unknown. We studied only the lower 7-8 kilometers. But the military planes fly at altitudes exceeding 20 km. We can assume there is the ion density is much higher.

The problem is that many precursors of earthquakes unreliable - they do not always work. Therefore excluded from the flight schedules eves disasters is not yet possible. How to protect crews and passengers in these dangerous days?

While the proposal is: to measure electrostatic potentials at least over the airfield, especially in earthquake zones, and even better - put special devices on airplanes. If the voltage reaches 400-500 volts per meter height required urgent landing - flying in such conditions too risky.

On the eve of the earthquake, many animals have been known to leave their homes. Monkeys, which put special experiments to natural disasters become more than ever irritable and even aggressive. Limiting mental excitation is observed before the earthquake.

Igor forty years of scientific activity studied 18 catastrophic, power of 8-11 points, earthquakes. The collected materials they assure: maximum tremors accompanied by peaks of hypertensive crises, heart attacks, exacerbation of mental diseases outbreaks.

If the forecasts of seismic discharges Earth, we are not yet available, the distribution voltage adjustment to measure real. This alone can be the salvation of those elements found in the sky. They are born masters shishkovideniya? Topic impact on people, not only earthquakes, but also the different anomalous zones developed Eugene G. Shelamberidze Candidate of Military Sciences, chairman of the board Fund "Geo-strategy and technology of the XXI century" .

The anomalous zones stands out not only helium, but also methane and many other aerosols. Land dumps excess energy in various forms. In some places there are emissions, other energy absorption. That is, the Earth is breathing. In the field of emissions change time, gravity, the parameters of electrostatic and electromagnetic fields. The space either sealed or diluted. These emissions occur at moments of acceleration and deceleration of Earth's rotation.

Engineering design sometimes just fall apart. So, the house was in Spitak, literally cut in half by the earthquake (even sideboard proved raspolovinit), one half of it crumbled to dust. This means that an earthquake - not only a wobble in the Earth's crust, but, above all, powerful energy emissions. Formed in this field torsion tearing the material at the molecular level.

Man, appearing in such places, vastly overstretched. It changes the composition of the blood chemistry of all systems of the body, the psyche. The pilot can not adequately respond to the readings. This is not a bug, but a reading of information in an altered state of consciousness.

The dynamics of strongly anomalous zones has intensified in recent decades. What is connected with cosmophysical factors. In March this year there was a change in the Sun's magnetic poles. A similar process occurs on all planets of the solar system. Especially in the world. The geomagnetic pole in the last decade has shifted 180 km south. By 2011, the reversal process in the world will end. This biosphere becomes a completely different mode of existence. Through anomalous zones are thrown huge masses of energy. And she shifted frequency niche, which has adapted to the human body. He is forced to change rapidly.

Before our eyes is born a new generation of children, dramatically different from all previous ones. Children are often unable to read any part of the body. Included in the work of the pineal gland - the pineal gland, which plays the role of a locator. The right hemisphere is sometimes perceives the information as the display. Clairvoyance is becoming the norm. Many of the catch predsignaly are not historical facts.

New, emerging before our eyes the reality requires the integration of diverse sets of knowledge. Including the security problem can not be solved in the framework of previous ideas about the world. He saved Dagestan doprizyvnikov The biggest sensation of the seminar was the presentation of Viktor Kalashnikov Novichkova, academician of the Russian Academy of Cosmonautics. Tsiolkovsky, an expert on early diagnosis of a distant aerospace engineering. The practice, which, he said, can hardly be attributed to the research: the results hardly repeat other independent researchers. Nevertheless, the facts are real. And even if we are not able today to explain their nature, it does not mean that you should not use the unique capabilities Novichkova. Who does not understand and is excited to announce such activities pseudoscientific, in my opinion, would have to turn out at the home of a switch from the plug and do not use or a TV or a refrigerator or a washing machine - it is also the nature of electricity is still not significantly explained.

So, here are the facts reported V.T.Novichkovym.

September 10, 1998 Russian cosmonauts had to go into space. For 12 days before that date, the expert said the deputy head of operations Victor Dmitrievich Blagovo: there is a risk of failure of the interlocks. In addition, at 16 h. 23 min. deny one of the blocks of computer control - named Rookie five-digit number of the unit. Sept. 10 spacewalk was canceled - haywire interlocks. And exactly 16 hours. 23 min. I stopped on-board computer. When the astronauts began to investigate the causes of failure of the Mission Control Center reported to them: begin the search with such a unit - handed over the five-digit number. In orbit immediately identified the problem at the specified location, saving the time needed to check for other units, and expensive fuel.

In April 1999, the orbiting space station detect leaks - pressure dropped to one atmosphere per day. Astronauts look exhausted hole sinned against the wall station, thickness is only 3 mm. Rookie intuitively believed the information - he "saw" as the commander of the crew found a leaky fitting in one of the nodes of the transfer compartment. It was found that the commander and the fitting, the hole diameter of 250 microns proved.

Three weeks before the start of the US unmanned spacecraft "Titan-4" Victor T. told our military: 38 seconds of the vibration of a short circuit and fail-board computer on the 40th second to happen deviation missile from a vertical, 45 seconds of "Titan" will explode. Management has not listened to the forecast and warn Americans not to become: a reference to the intuition of a Novichkova seemed too weak motivation. But disaster happened exactly according to the scenario painted by seconds.

November 22, 2000 Rookie transmit information to their CB. Dry: flying "Su-32", piloted by Votintseva and Soloviev, scheduled for 29 th of may be tragic - in the landing gear under the left wing crack. Shortly CEO Mikhail Pogosyan KB thanked for their help: indeed, the left found the crack front.

On the death of "Ruslan" in Irkutsk Beginners warned one of the generals of aircraft two months before the tragedy.

I brought only part of the information submitted by the expert. Other no less impressive. Victor T. made a reasonable remark: all this would have sounded much more convincing is not out of your mouth, but skeptical mind of man, which could prove at least one of the above facts.

And this was followed by a confirmation. He got up, Colonel Andrei Gusev, Senior Expert Service Safety State Aviation Ministry of Defense. On September 5, he received a telephone message from Novichkova and officially registered it in the logbook. After 6 days, ie 11 September should, according to Novichkova happen massive hijacking, which will lead to a large number of casualties. Where exactly? - Said Colonel Gusev. Somewhere far away in the West, said Beginners. In Germany, or even the west? I can not pinpoint. Well, then I record in Germany.

We asked Viktor Kalashnikov and that if he could only predict disasters, or in any way affect the event with a view to preventing or at least a correction of situations?

In some cases it is possible to block the deaths. Thus, on 21 June last year in the region of Astrakhan crashed "IL-76" with the youth of premilitary age of Dagestan on board. A week before the event Beginners "I saw" the sky blazing ship. Willpower expert changed his "image" - forced himself to see "IL-76" landed on the concrete runway. True, identified several broken legs. Indeed, the plane landed on its belly and caught fire only after all two hundred people jumped out of the car. 18 people broke the ankle of the right leg. But all are alive.

Of course, doubts about the veracity of these allegations are natural. But to remove them, Novichkova posts should be systematically checked. Do not rebuke an expert in pseudoscientific and document and check its forecasts. If it appears that the accuracy of their high Novichkova, in my opinion, should be recognized as a national treasure of Russia and legislatively protect from attacks behind the times adherents of Marxist-Leninist philosophy. Let Victor T. saves lives, passengers, pilots, astronauts. And as it does, the researchers sorted out in due course. Without the help of some "big" academics who consider themselves the guardians of the only truth.

Savely Kashnitsky

Igor Ananyin (28 August 1928 - 15 MARCH 2014